With every major global event or decision, it often raises the question of how, or even if, it will impact things here at home and what we pay at the pump.

While not every headline leads to immediate changes, global shifts can eventually influence local gas prices over time.

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Photo by David McNew/Getty Images
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The United Arab Emirates (UAE) announced Tuesday that it plans to leave the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

OPEC is a group that coordinates oil production among major energy-producing nations. While the move could lead to increased output, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz makes it unclear how quickly any additional oil will reach global markets.

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Photo by Thomas Kronsteiner/Getty Images
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The UAE has recently been one of the group’s top oil producers, ranking third behind Saudi Arabia and Iraq.

Additionally, the UAE has been part of the organization since 1971, after initially joining as Abu Dhabi in 1967. On the same day as the announcement, gas prices in the U.S. averaged $4.18 per gallon, their highest level of the year so far, according to AAA.

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Photo by Tom Dulat/Getty Images
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Gas prices in Maine are mostly driven by global oil markets, with crude oil prices set worldwide based on supply, demand, and geopolitical factors like conflicts or decisions from groups like OPEC.

On top of that, refining costs, transportation to New England, and seasonal demand, like summer travel or winter heating needs, all help determine what you pay at the pump.

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Photo by Brandon Bell/Getty Images
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Local factors like state taxes, rural distribution costs, and limited pipeline access can make prices a bit higher in Maine, but they still tend to follow the global oil market first.

Right now, larger forces like oil topping $100 per barrel, conflict in the Middle East, and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz are playing a much bigger role than the UAE leaving OPEC, according to Reuters.

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Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images
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In the short term, prices may stay high or even rise, but that’s mostly due to global supply disruptions rather than the UAE leaving OPEC.

Over time, increased oil production from the UAE could help stabilize or slightly lower prices, but Maine will still follow global trends, often with a slight delay and sometimes at a higher cost than the national average.

Photo by Thomas Kronsteiner/Getty Images
Photo by Thomas Kronsteiner/Getty Images
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And there you have it! While the UAE leaving OPEC makes headlines, Maine gas prices are still expected to mostly follow global oil trends and ongoing geopolitical factors, so we won’t truly know the impact until we know.

What are your thoughts on this? We’d love to hear from you! Feel free to join the conversation by messaging us on the app.

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